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Breaking News: Celsius Founder Alex Mashinsky Receives 12-Year Prison Sentence

VWAPs Don’t Lie—XRP Faces Judgment Day At Monthly Support

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
3 days ago
3 mins read
XRP price news

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

XRP is drifting back to the lower boundary of a five-month trading range, yet the higher-time-frame structure remains intact, according to a daily chart published on May 7 by analyst Dom (@traderview2). The chart covers late-December 2024 through the first week of May 2025 and shows XRP after breaking above a descending trend line that originates at the January 16 high near $3.40.

XRP Is ‘Holding Strong’

Dom’s analysis hinges on a trio of anchored Volume-Weighted Average Prices, or VWAPs, which are plotted as adaptive bands on the chart. VWAP represents the average price of an asset over a specified period, weighted by trading volume; in essence it tells traders the level at which the bulk of transactions have occurred.

XRP price analysis
XRP price analysis | Source: X @traderview2

Because large institutional desks often benchmark execution quality against VWAP, the line tends to act as dynamic support or resistance when price retests it. When the anchor point is shifted—from the start of the month, quarter or year, for example—each VWAP offers a lens on how supply-and-demand has evolved over that discrete window.

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The cyan line marks the quarterly anchored VWAP, currently situated at $2.2796, a level that rejected price last week and precipitated the ongoing pullback. The orange line denotes the monthly VWAP, now at $2.0574, and price is hovering just above it; Dom sketches a curved route suggesting that a constructive bounce here could propel XRP back toward the mid-$2.20s.

Below, a green ribbon captures the yearly anchored VWAP at $1.8731, flanked by its standard-deviation envelopes at $1.7863 and $1.6996. The April 7 capitulation wick bottomed precisely into that yearly mean before snapping higher, underscoring its significance as a structural foothold.

“The VWAPs continue to play perfect, local low was yearly VWAP, rejection last week was off quarterly VWAP and now we are heading to retest the monthly VWAP,” Dom states.

The Key Support Zone

Horizontal action is equally telling. Since early December the market has ranged between roughly $1.94 and $2.05, a zone highlighted on the chart by a grey rectangle and six green arrows flagging prior deflections. Dom characterises the present retreat as a “healthy retest” of that floor; only a decisive daily close below the band would tilt the bias decisively bearish.

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Until then, XRP is, in his words, “already strong” relative to other large-capitalisation altcoins that have broken comparable ranges, even though it is temporarily exhibiting weakness versus a surging Bitcoin dominance index. “XRP is still holding its range from Dec (no other large cap is anywhere near that) so it’s already been strong while others just bled. BTC.D is on a terror run and BTC is just dominating the flows,” Dom writes via X.

Technicians will focus on two intersecting signposts over the coming sessions: whether bulls can defend the $2.00 handle and whether the monthly VWAP can again flip from resistance to short-term support. A failure at any of those checkpoints opens the door for a deeper voyage toward the yearly VWAP around $1.87, while a successful defense would reinforce the narrative that the larger consolidation remains merely a pause within a still-valid structural up-trend.

“I am expecting a reaction off this range low, losing that would be where things turn bearish/murky, but for now, it’s a healthy chart,” Dom concludes.

At press time, XRP traded at $2.20.

XRP price
XRP bounces from the trend line, 1-day chart | Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Reason to trust

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Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
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