With its price swings, the mysterious world of Bitcoin never fails to enthrals investors. Nonetheless, a recent study by well-known crypto analyst Cryptorphic points to a future that seems more promising than current declines would suggest.
Their prediction? Bitcoin hitting a staggering $156,000 by May 27th, 2025.
The Halving Effect: A Historical Catalyst
The forecast of Cryptorphic depends on a historical phenomena called halving. The number of Bitcoins given for mining fresh blocks halves every four years. In principle, this lessens the quantity of fresh coins joining the market, hence perhaps increasing the price of current ones.
His study of historical halvings reveals an interesting trend. After the initial halving in 2012, Bitcoin’s price shot skyward an amazing 8,300% In 2016, the second half witnessed a more moderate but nonetheless remarkable rise of 288%. The most recent reduction in 2020 spurred a 540% annual increase.
#Bitcoin could hit $156,000 by May 27 2025!
These green boxes represent the price action after #BTC halvings. We’ve never seen a red year after a halving.
Bitcoin halvings are significant events, here are the percentages of Bitcoin’s price increase one year after each halving… pic.twitter.com/QEmNN8OuP2— Cryptorphic (@Cryptorphic1) May 27, 2024
A Golden Ticket Or Fool’s Gold?
Based on the fourth halving last April, Cryptorphic projects a possible price increase of around 130% in the next year. This comes to a price tag of anything from $115,000 to $156,000.
The study notes the existing short-term volatility even with the optimistic view. Reflecting a recent 5%, Bitcoin is trading below its top right now. But Cryptorphic spots a technical indicator—the “inverse head and shoulders”—suggesting a possible price breakout.
A Broader Market View
The analyst’s point of view is not afraid of offering opposing opinions. Others approach things more subtly, showing wary hope for the future course. They agree the bearish scenarios are declining and think the market may be in an earlier positive phase than what Cryptorphic projects.
Though both analysts stress the need of a controlled approach to risk management, this indicates the possibility for more profits even before 2025.
With 144% gain over the past year, Bitcoin shows notable increasing velocity. Its outstanding success has seen it outperform 58% of the top 100 crypto assets as well as top Ethereum in gains. Such a steady rise emphasises the great market situation and investor confidence of the asset.
The asset is showing a consistent upward trend right now since it is trading above its 200-day simple moving average. Its great liquidity, which results from a big market size, also appeals to investors more.
Featured image from Revolutionized, chart from TradingView
