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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions

Buckle Up, Bitcoin ETF Buyers, $79K Might Be Your First Real Test

Opeyemi Sule
Opeyemi Sule
Last Updated: November 22, 2025 11:00 am
2 mins read

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The cryptocurrency market has been under severe bearish pressure in the past week, with the price of Bitcoin falling below this year’s opening price. At the same time, other large-cap assets have struggled, registering double-digit losses over the past few days.

In recent months, conversations have swirled around the death of the typical four-year cycle and a shift in the Bitcoin market structure, with the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) providing fresh, consistent liquidity. However, the latest on-chain data shows that BTC ETF investors could be under pressure in the coming days.

$79,300: The Pain Threshold For BTC ETF Buyers

In a recent post on the CryptoQuant platform, IT Tech shared an insight into the current Bitcoin market dynamics and how it could affect the relatively new set of investors known as BTC ETF buyers. According to the on-chain analyst, these exchange-traded fund holders are “about to face their first real test.”

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The relevant metric here is the Bitcoin US ETF Realized Price, which tracks the average purchase price of BTC held by United States-based exchange-traded funds. This indicator offers insights into the profitability of institutional investors and holders.

IT Tech, however, made an interesting assertion, calling out the idea that ETF capital inflows are “Institutional Money.” The crypto analyst noted that most value added through US-based exchange-traded funds is mostly from retail investors buying through their brokerage accounts.

Bitcoin
Source: CryptoQuant

As observed in the chart above, the Bitcoin US Exchange-Traded Funds Realized Price currently stands around $79,300. IT Tech said that the ETF buyers often feel “smart” when above the realized price, while they feel panic (as seen with most retail investors) when below their cost basis.

According to the on-chain analyst, these ETF investors are not accustomed to Bitcoin price declines. Hence, this group of exchange-traded fund holders or “new retail,” who have not been tested before, could enter a phase of panic selling should they go underwater.

Currently, the next significant support for the market leader is marked at around $82,000, where several spot investors have their cost basis. Ultimately, this evaluation makes $79,300 another crucial level to watch should the price of Bitcoin suffer further downturn. 

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $84,500, reflecting an over 2% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is down by more than 11% in the past week.

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The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
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Opeyemi Sule
Opeyemi Sule

Opeyemi Sule

Opeyemi is a proficient writer and enthusiast in the exciting and unique cryptocurrency realm. While the digital asset industry was not his first choice, he has remained absolutely drawn since making a foray into the space over two years. Now, Opeyemi takes pride in creating unique pieces unraveling the complexities of blockchain technology and sharing insights on the latest trends in the world of cryptocurrencies.

Read more

Opeyemi savors his attraction to the crypto market, which explains why he spends the better parts of his day looking through different price charts. “Looking” is a rather simple way to describe analyzing and interpreting various price patterns and chart formations. However, it appears that is not Opeyemi’s favorite part - in fact, far from it.

Being able to connect what happens on a price chart to on-chain movements and blockchain activities is what keeps Opeyemi ticking. “This emphasizes the intricacies of blockchain technology and the cryptocurrency market,” he would say. Most importantly, Opeyemi thinks of any market insights as the gospel, while recognizing that he is only a messenger.

When he is not clicking away at his keyboard, Opeyemi is most definitely listening to music, playing games, reading a book, or scrolling through X. He likes to think he is not loyal to a particular genre of music, which can be true on many days. However, the fast-rising Afrobeats genre is a staple in Opeyemi’s Spotify Daily Mix.

Meanwhile, Opeyemi is a voracious reader who enjoys a wide category of books - ranging from science fiction, fantasy, and historical, to even romance. He believes that authors like George R. R. Martin and J. K.
Rowling are the greatest of all time when it comes to putting pen to paper. Opeyemi believes his reading of the Harry Potter series twice is proof of that.

Indeed, Opeyemi enjoys spending most of his time within the four walls of his home. However, he also sometimes finds solace in the company of his friends at a bar, a restaurant, or even on a stroll. In essence, Opeyemi’s ambivert (haha! been searching for an opportunity to use the word to describe myself) nature makes him a social chameleon who is able to quickly adapt to different settings.

Opeyemi recognizes the need to constantly develop oneself in order to stay afloat in a competitive and ever-evolving market like crypto. For this reason, he is always in learning mode, ready to pick up the slightest lesson from every situation. Opeyemi is efficient and likes to deliver all that is required of him in time - he believes that “whatever is worth doing at all is worth doing well.” Hence, you will always find him striving to be better.

Ultimately, Opeyemi is a good writer and an even better person who is trying to shed light on an exciting world phenomenon - cryptocurrency. He goes to bed every day with a smile of satisfaction on his face, knowing that he has done his bit of the holy assignment - spreading the crypto gospel to the rest of the world.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

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