NewsBTC
No Result
View All Result
  • Cryptocurrency News
    • Bitcoin News (BTC)
    • Ethereum News (ETH)
    • Ripple News (XRP)
    • Shiba Inu News (SHIB)
    • Cardano News (ADA)
    • Dogecoin News (DOGE)
    • Solana News (SOL)
    • Litecoin News (LTC)
    • Avalanche News (AVAX)
    • Polygon News (MATIC)
  • Crypto Prices
    • Binance Coin (BNB) Price
    • Bitcoin (BTC) Price
    • Cardano (ADA) Price
    • Chainlink (LINK) Price
    • Dogecoin (DOGE) Price
    • Ethereum (ETH) Price
    • Litecoin (LTC) Price
    • Polkadot (DOT) Price
  • Crypto Resources & Directory
  • All Crypto
  • Play GamesTry
  • CasinosTry
Breaking News: VanEck Predicts Bitcoin Could Reach $2.9 Million In New Long-Term Capital Report
  • Cryptocurrency News
    • Bitcoin News (BTC)
    • Ethereum News (ETH)
    • Ripple News (XRP)
    • Shiba Inu News (SHIB)
    • Cardano News (ADA)
    • Dogecoin News (DOGE)
    • Solana News (SOL)
    • Litecoin News (LTC)
    • Avalanche News (AVAX)
    • Polygon News (MATIC)
  • Crypto Prices
    • Binance Coin (BNB) Price
    • Bitcoin (BTC) Price
    • Cardano (ADA) Price
    • Chainlink (LINK) Price
    • Dogecoin (DOGE) Price
    • Ethereum (ETH) Price
    • Litecoin (LTC) Price
    • Polkadot (DOT) Price
  • Crypto Resources & Directory
  • All Crypto
  • Play GamesTry
  • CasinosTry
Bitcoin News
No Result
View All Result
Breaking News: VanEck Predicts Bitcoin Could Reach $2.9 Million In New Long-Term Capital Report

Quant Explains How Bitcoin MVRV MACD Can Signal Price Trends

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
Last Updated: June 11, 2024 8:53 am
3 mins read
Bitcoin

Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

A quant has broken down how the Bitcoin MVRV MACD oscillator could be used to check for signals in the price.

Bitcoin MVRV MACD Oscillator As Price indicator

As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, this metric can help detect both the lows and the highs in the price, as well as the greater trends. The “Bitcoin MVRV” is an indicator that measures the ratio between the market cap and the realized cap.

Here, the “realized cap” is a capitalization model for BTC that values each coin in circulation at the price at which it was last moved, rather than taking the same current BTC price as the value of all the coins, as the normal market cap does.

Since the realized cap is sort of a “true” value model for the coin, its comparison with the market cap (in the MVRV) can tell us whether the coin is undervalued or overvalued at the moment. When the MVRV is greater than 1, it means BTC is overpriced right now, while having values below the threshold suggests it’s underpriced.

Now, to use MVRV as a trading tool, the quant has taken the MACD oscillator of the indicator. A MACD oscillator is just the difference between the short-term and long-term exponential moving averages (EMA) of the metric in question. Here, these EMAs are the 50-day and the 100-day versions.

Related Reading

Ethereum

Ethereum Surges 4% As Whales Show Elevated Activity

2 years ago

The below chart shows how the Bitcoin MVRV MACD can be used for finding tops and bottoms in the price:

Bitcoin MVRV MACD

The metric seems to have approached a value of 0 recently | Source: CryptoQuant

According to the quant, whenever the MVRV MACD has been higher than 0.3, it has been a signal that BTC is overbought currently. On the other hand, values less than -0.3 have signaled underbought conditions.

From the chart, it’s apparent that while these signals haven’t coincided with the cycle tops and bottoms, they have still correctly indicated some local tops and bottoms.

Related Reading

Bitcoin doom

Research Firm Issues Warning For Bitcoin And ETH Investors Over DCG Situation

1 year ago

Now, here is another graph where the analyst has highlighted how divergences between the price and the MVRV MACD can signal future trends:

Bitcoin MVRV Trends

Various divergences between BTC and the MVRV MACD | Source: CryptoQuant

“A divergence occurs when the direction of a technical indicator and the direction of the price trend are moving in opposite directions,” explains the analyst. In the graph, it’s visible that whenever the MVRV MACD has moved up inside the negative region while the price consolidates sideways or declines, a bullish divergence has formed for Bitcoin.

Similarly, a bearish divergence has taken shape when the value of the crypto has been rising, but the indicator has been going down in the zone above zero. At present, none of these signals have formed in the current bear market so far.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $16,800, up 1% in the last week.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Looks like BTC has stagnated after the rise yesterday | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image from André François McKenzie on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
Tweet123Share196ShareSend
Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Read more

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

Close

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

Related News

預售幣vs主流幣:2026年1月投資焦點解析,如何利用預售機制搶佔迷因幣暴漲先機?

2026 年 1 月的加密市場,氣氛其實很「兩極」。一邊是比特幣(BTC)仍站在 9 萬美元附近震盪,市場對「下一次衝 10 萬」的想像沒有消失;另一邊則是資金流向變得更挑剔——你會看到主流幣靠 ET...

newsbtc 3 hours ago
Dogecoin, DOGE

Dogecoin Prepares For Major Recovery As Bullish Momentum Builds – Here’s The Target

Dogecoin (DOGE) is attempting to hold a crucial area as support after recording a 3.2% drop in the daily timeframe....

Rubmar Garcia 4 hours ago
Bitcoin

$460M Crypto Longs Squeezed As Bitcoin Slips Below $90,000

Data shows the crypto derivatives market has faced a fresh wave of liquidations as Bitcoin and other assets have gone...

Keshav Verma 5 hours ago
Load More

Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

Related News

Bitcoin news

Bitcoin Indicator With 84% Hit Rate Flashes Again: Is A Price Rally Next?

Jake Simmons 1 hour ago

2026 比特幣預測大出爐!華爾街目標價上看 22.5 萬美元

newsbtc 1 hour ago
비트코인, 3억 8천만 달러 ETF 유출에도 9만 달러 방어... 비트코인 하이퍼($HYPER) 고래 매수 쇄도

비트코인, 3억 8천만 달러 ETF 유출에도 9만 달러 방어… 비트코인 하이퍼($HYPER) 고래 매수 쇄도

Soyeon Lee 2 hours ago

Premium Sponsors

Press Releases

  • イーサリアム 今後

    イーサリアム...

    20 hours ago
  • ビットコイン 今後とBCH連動

    ビットコイン...

    20 hours ago
  • シバコイン 今後

    シバコイン...

    20 hours ago
  • パイネットワーク 価格

    パイネットワーク...

    20 hours ago
  • Only 5 Hours Left to Secure PepeNode at ICO Pricing – Ahead of a Potential 100x Run

    Only 5 Hours Left to Secure PepeNode at ICO Pricing –...

    21 hours ago

Newsletter

About Us

NewsBTC is a cryptocurrency news service that covers bitcoin news today, technical analysis & forecasts for bitcoin price and other altcoins. Here at NewsBTC, we are dedicated to enlightening everyone about bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

Company

  • About Us
  • Advertising
  • Contact Us
  • Privacy Center

Social

© 2025 NewsBTC. All Rights Reserved.

  • Cryptocurrency News
    • Bitcoin News (BTC)
    • Ethereum News (ETH)
    • Ripple News (XRP)
    • Shiba Inu News (SHIB)
    • Cardano News (ADA)
    • Dogecoin News (DOGE)
    • Solana News (SOL)
    • Litecoin News (LTC)
    • Avalanche News (AVAX)
    • Polygon News (MATIC)
  • Crypto Prices
    • Binance Coin (BNB) Price
    • Bitcoin (BTC) Price
    • Cardano (ADA) Price
    • Chainlink (LINK) Price
    • Dogecoin (DOGE) Price
    • Ethereum (ETH) Price
    • Litecoin (LTC) Price
    • Polkadot (DOT) Price
  • Crypto Resources & Directory
  • All Crypto
  • Play Games
  • Casinos
Advertise

© 2025 NewsBTC. All Rights Reserved.

This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this website you are giving consent to cookies being used. Visit our Privacy Center or Cookie Policy.