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Breaking News: Bitcoin Hits ATH Of $112,000, Expert Predicts Rally Is Just Beginning
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Hits ATH Of $112,000, Expert Predicts Rally Is Just Beginning

Bitcoin Traders Long The $39K Dip, Will BTC Head In Expected Direction?

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
1 year ago
2 mins read
bitcoin

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Rejected once again as it attempted to reclaim the $40,000 area, Bitcoin trades just north of $39,000. The first crypto by market cap is moving on a low timeframe range between the mid area of its current levels, and around $48,000.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Clings To $40K On Easter Sunday As Crypto Seen To Head Lower In The Short Term

In higher timeframes, Bitcoin seems trapped between the low $30,000s and the high $60,000s. Whenever it approaches, traders turn to high fear of high greed levels.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $39,300 with a 3% and 7% loss in the last 24 hours and 7 days, respectively.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC moving sideways on the 4-hour chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

Data from analyst Ali Martinez suggest traders are yet to enter the fear territory as BTC’s price still holds its current levels. A majority of operators seem to be optimistic.

As seen below, the long to short ratio on crypto exchange Binance stands at 2.88, meaning traders are dominantly long. Around 74% of the traders on this platform took long positions as opposed to 25%.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Ali Martinez via Twitter

In that sense, Martinez advised traders to stay cautious as Bitcoin rarely does what the majority expects. While the price of the first crypto seems to be recovering in short timeframes, bulls are yet to display conviction.

The analyst added the following on potential support levels for BTC’s price in case of more downside:

Bitcoin last line of defense is the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $38,530. Breaching this support level could see $BTC fall to $32,853 or even $26,820.

Data from Material Indicators (MI) supports these potential levels. As seen below, the price of Bitcoin bounced off a stack of bid orders (in yellow below the price) set at around $39,000.

The benchmark crypto then proceeded to move upwards, but with little support at its current levels in case of a fresh increase in selling pressure until $38,000. Similar to when BTC saw support at $39,000, there are around $10 million in bid orders at those levels.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC’s price (blue on the chart) bounces off support (bids in red and yellow below the price). Source: Material Indicators

Bitcoin Fundamentals Suggest Up, But BTC’s Price Stays Down

Bitcoin’s price range has been tightening in the past months. A capitulation event, a price action that moves the price out of the range, seems to be brewing.

Additional data from Martinez records an important decrease in the supply of BTC sitting on exchange platforms. This metric stands at a one-year low with a persistent trend to the downside.

Despite the supply crunch, the price of Bitcoin seems more tied to macro-economic factors. The increase in interest rates from the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED) and the war between Russia and Ukraine are among the most important.

Related Reading | TA: Bitcoin Remains at Risk, Why 100 SMA Is The Key

As NewsBTC reported, if the FED turns aggressive on its monetary policy, BTC’s price could retest the bottom of its range or trend lower.

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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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