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Breaking News: Celsius Founder Alex Mashinsky Receives 12-Year Prison Sentence

Why Bitcoin Could Return to $17,000 In the Short Term

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
2 years ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin BTC

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The price of Bitcoin continues to grind slowly to the downside while other major digital assets follow. The market is moving in tandem with the legacy financial sector, pricing in a higher terminal rate for 2023. 

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As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $16,600 with sideways movement in the last 24 hours. In the previous week, the cryptocurrency is recording a 3% loss. Previous outperformers, such as Dogecoin, Polygon, and Ethereum, are seeing heavy losses on similar timeframes. 

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT
BTC’s price moving sideways on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSDT Tradingview

Bitcoin Likely To Bounce Back In The Coming Days?

The number one crypto is trending to the downside after the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell spoke about the current macroeconomic conditions. During last week’s Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed Chair highlighted his objective to continue fighting inflation. 

This decision might lead to lower interest rates in the short term, but the Fed targets a higher terminal rate, the percentage at which the institution will finally pivot, in the long term. The market is reacting to this new reality. 

According to several reports, market participants were expecting a terminal rate of around 5%, which increased to 5.5%. Interest rates could remain this high until 2024. Several Fed representatives echoed the same hawkish message. New York Fed President John Williams said:

(…) we’re going to have to do what’s necessary” to get inflation back to the Fed’s 2% target… (terminal or peak rate) could be higher than what we’ve written down.

As the Fed gave its message, Bitcoin saw a clean rejection from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). If the cryptocurrency can breach this level, it might begin shifting the bearish trend and reclaim previously lost territory. 

BTC is battling with the loss in bullish momentum and seems at risk of returning to its yearly lows. Bulls must hold the line at around $16,200 to $16,500 to prevent further downside. 

Data from Material Indicators point to a spike in volatility for the coming week. On Thursday, the U.S. will publish data on its job market. If this country’s economy remains strong, the Fed will have the support it needs to continue hiking interest rates. 

Therefore, vital economic data will remain a bearish indicator for Bitcoin and traditional equities. Conversely, Material Indicators record a long signal on their Trend Precognition indicator. This signal might hint at a BTC price recovery for the short term. 

2/6 On the 2Day & 3Day TFs, the predictive A1 Slope Line is indicating that bullish momentum may continue for #BTC into Tuesday but it starts fading by mid week.

Keep in mind, the A1 Slope Line is a real time indicator so it can and will change if detects a shift in momentum. pic.twitter.com/GaEEKf2U2A

— Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) December 19, 2022 

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Is this indicator hinting at favorable volatility for the bulls after the upcoming jobless report? Remains to be seen. 

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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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NewsBTC is a cryptocurrency news service that covers bitcoin news today, technical analysis & forecasts for bitcoin price and other altcoins. Here at NewsBTC, we are dedicated to enlightening everyone about bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

We cover BTC news related to bitcoin exchanges, bitcoin mining and price forecasts for various cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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