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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Still In “Overbought” Region, Volatility To Follow?

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
1 year ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin Bear

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Data shows the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross is still in the “overbought” region, a sign that there may be more volatility to come for the cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Continues To Be At A High Value

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the BTC long-term holders have been moving their coins recently. The “NVT ratio” is an indicator that measures the ratio between the Bitcoin market cap and the transaction volume on the chain (both in USD). What this metric tells us is whether the value of the cryptocurrency (the market cap) is comparable to the ability to transact coins or not (the volume).

When the value of the metric is high, it means BTC is overvalued right now as transaction volumes are low compared to the market cap. On the other hand, low values imply the crypto may be undervalued currently.

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The “NVT Golden Cross” is an indicator that compares the long-term (30-day MA) and the short-term (10-day MA) trends of the NVT ratio to identify tops and bottoms in the metric. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the NVT Golden Cross over the last couple of years:

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross

Looks like the value of the metric seems to have been high in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant

As you can see in the above graph, the quant has marked the “overbought” and “oversold” regions in the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross. Whenever this metric has a value of more than 2.2, it means the crypto might be overpriced right now. The coin has usually observed a bearish effect when the indicator has been in this region, as the chart displays.

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The “underpriced” condition occurs in the zone where the BTC NVT Golden Cross has values less than -1.6. In the image, there is also the chart for the “supply adjusted dormancy,” an indicator that tells us whether long-term holders are selling or not currently.

It seems like the LTHs have been possibly participating in a large degree of selling recently. This metric has an influence on the NVT Golden Cross, which has also risen in the last few weeks. The indicator is now in the overbought region, which suggests Bitcoin may soon be seeing some bearish volatility.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $17k, down 2% in the last week. Over the past month, the digital asset has gained 1% in value. The chart below shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.

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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Read more

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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