In this episode of NewsBTC’s daily technical analysis videos, we take a look at the ongoing Bitcoin price breakout above the upper Bollinger Band on daily BTCUSD charts and provide some insight into what the next targets might be.
Take a look at the video below:
VIDEO: Bitcoin Price Analysis (BTCUSD): October 26, 2022
The breakout across crypto has already resulted in a substantial amount of shorts liquidated. How far could this Bitcoin rally run?
Bitcoin Rally Approaches Middle Of Trading Range
Bitcoin price is now at the middle-point of a horizontal trading range, making for a natural stopping point for profit-taking and to draw in a fresh set of short positions. Busting through the range median will result in another attempt at around $25K.
More importantly, the Bitcoin price is continuing to make a strong push outside of the Bollinger Bands on daily timeframes. After tightening for so long, and now starting to expand, the rally could have more legs than bears expect.
BTC is attempting to break through the median of a the trading range | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
BTCUSD Weekly Hits Resistance At Middle Bollinger Band
That is because Bitcoin price has already found and met resistance at the mid-Bollinger Band on weekly timeframes. The key resistance level at the 20-week SMA, was where I placed a hedge short entry today in case the rally is rejected instead.
If there is no rejection and Bitcoin keeps rising, we could be looking at a full-blown return to a crypto bull run. Zooming out shows just how significant a weekly close above the middle Bollinger Band would be.
Turning on Bollinger Band Width shows that the bands are some of the tightest ever. The last two instances were prior to the 50% breakdown to the 2018 bear market bottom. Before that was prior to the epic 2017 Bitcoin bull run that made the cryptocurrency a household name.
Importantly, in 2018, Bitcoin price was below the mid-Bollinger Band, while in 2016 it was above the mid-BB. The trend is more likely to continue on whatever side of the mid-BB price is on. If the weekly BTCUSD chart closes above the middle band and holds, it could be off to the races once again for Bitcoin bulls.
Crypto Profit Targets To Watch For Using The Ichimoku
Back to those weekly Bollinger Bands, for a sense of what happens if BTCUSD were to get through the mid-BB. The upper band would become the next logical target, located at $23,800. Much like Bitcoin has done on daily timeframes, pushing outside of the upper band is possible given the abundance of short interest in the market.
Replacing the Bollinger Bands with the Ichimoku on the same weekly timeframe, also tells us a lot about what could happen next. Bitcoin price is pushing above the Tenkan-sen, making the next major resistance level the Kijun-sen located at $32,000. In 2018, we can see that the two lines were much closer together, but anything is possible with so much energy built up in the market.
During the first bounce from the 2018 bear market bottom, Bitcoin price pushed all the way outside of the top of the cloud, only to make it out of it, but ultimately lose it once again on Black Thursday 2020. If Bitcoin price were to reach the top of the cloud, the rally could be stopped at $43,000. Once above the cloud, all that’s left for Bitcoin is the moon.