Key Points
- Bitcoin price struggled to gain pace above the $4,240 level and declined recently against the US Dollar.
- There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at $4,020 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The price is currently trading below the $3,850 support and it could decline further towards $3,500.
Bitcoin price started a downside correction below $4,000 against the US Dollar. BTC might continue to move down towards the $3,600 or $3,500 support level.
Bitcoin Price Analysis
Yesterday, bitcoin traded close to the $4,250 level against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair struggled to clear the $4,240 level and later started a sharp downside correction. It broke the $4,000 support and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Sellers gained pace and pushed the price below the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $3,788 low to $4,240 high.
More importantly, there was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at $4,020 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair even broke the $3,788 low and moved into a short term bearish zone. If there are more declines, the price could test the $3,620 support. Below $3,620, the next stop for sellers could be near the $3,500 level. It coincides with the 1.618 Fib extension level of the last wave from the $3,788 low to $4,240 high. On the other hand, if there is an upside correction, the price is likely to struggle near the $3,850 and $3,980 resistance levels.
Looking at the chart, bitcoin price clearly failed near the $4,240 level. BTC price could extend declines below $3,600, but it must stay above $3,500 to start a fresh upward move. If not, it could decline towards the $3,200 support.
Looking at the technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD moved back in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is currently well below the 50 level.
Major Support Level – $3,500
Major Resistance Level – $4,000