- Bitcoin price pulled back in the early trading session Tuesday after logging a strong opening for the weekend a day before.
- The corrective action appeared as the rising number of COVID cases in the US prompted the Federal Reserve to make a stark warning.
- The central bank said the trajectory of the US’s economic recovery would be bumpy despite promising data.
A modest rally in the Bitcoin market paused on Tuesday as traders pitted the signs of economic recovery against the resurgence in COVID cases in the US.
The BTC/USD exchange rate fell 1.16 percent to circa $9,234 as of 1018 GMT shortly after the US futures signaled a similar downside move. Futures linked to the S&P 500 plunged 0.91 percent, hinting that the benchmark index will open lower after the New York opening bell.
Bitcoin and S&P 500 over the past three months. Source: TradingView.com
The positive correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 have grown higher in the last three months.
Altcoin Season, Fed Warning
Bitcoin’s plunge also followed a substantial capital shift to competing blockchain projects. Traders moved into the so-called altcoins to seek short-term profits, causing Bitcoin’s market dominance to decline by more than 1 percent.
It’s too funny that a few months ago everyone said ‘altcoins are dead’.
While right now; everyone is rushing in on them as they are moving.
More funny; the moment to accumulate them was the past year, when they were called dead.
Market psychology. $BTC #BITCOIN
— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) July 7, 2020
One of the altcoin tokens even surged by as much as 22 percent against Bitcoin on a 24-hour adjusted timeframe.
Negative signals for Bitcoin also kept appearing from the mainstream market. Raphael Bostic, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, told FT in an interview that a resurgence in the COVID cases across the US is dampening economic recovery.
United States daily COVID cases. Source: ABC News
Late last week, the S&P 500, and its Wall Street peers rallied after the US jobs data released for the second-quarter showed a surge in employment numbers. Nevertheless, the report did not include June figures after the rise in COVID cases that led some states to impose lockdowns.
The comments from the Fed prompted investment bank Jefferies to say that economic recovery may have flatlined alongside stocks.
“The loss of momentum is broad-based, spanning small business activity, discretionary footfall, restaurant bookings, traffic congestion, and web traffic to state unemployment portals,” it said.
That left the S&P 500 rally facing red flags as it moves further into the third quarter. Likewise, Bitcoin merely followed the trend into negative territory.
Bitcoin Technical Outlook
Lack of homogenous fundamentals now keeps Bitcoin prone to moves on Wall Street. That leaves traders with only technical indicators to guess the cryptocurrency’s next directional bias.
“To reduce sell pressure we need this $9300 resistance broken,” one trader commented. “$9k has been protected well, but the dips there won’t get bought forever. Either hold this progress or I could see a further retrace being more possible.”
Bitcoin was trading near $9,242 at the time of this publication.
Photo by Markus Spiske on Unsplash