Fibonacci Day: How To Use Math To Trade Bitcoin And Altcoins

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Last Updated: June 11, 2024 8:04 am

3 mins read

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Bitcoin price broke above its 2019 high, and after that, took off another $5,000. The reason why the level was so critical to confirming a reversal back into a bull market, was due to the resistance residing at the golden ratio – based on the Fibonacci sequence.

Today, to celebrate both Fibonacci Day and Bitcoin’s breakout beyond the key zone, we’re taking a deep look at the importance of Fibonacci retracement levels in financial markets like cryptocurrencies.

What Is Fibonacci Sequence And Why How Does It Apply To BTCUSD Technical Analysis?

Although Bitcoin is an asset unlike any other before it, it still tends to follow the same laws and dynamics that govern financial markets. The cryptocurrency goes through market cycles where sentiment shifts from bullish to bearish and back, and responds the same to support and resistance as forex, stocks, commodities, and more.

The entire Bitcoin code is built on mathematical code, and everything down to the number of BTC and the block reward halving mechanism relies heavily on math.

It is only fitting then, that Bitcoin and other crypto assets built on math, respond so well to mathematical levels of support and resistance.

These mathematical levels tend to reside at ratios based on the Fibonacci sequence, in which the sum of the previous two numbers makes up the current number and so forth indefinitely.

On November 23rd the world celebrates the famous Italian mathematician that first made sense out of the numbers found everywhere in nature.

Leonardo Bonacci of Pisa was the author of Liber Abaci, also known as The Book of Calculation. Using the sequence, he could with a degree of accuracy predict the future population of rabbits. The numbers have since been used to predict all sorts of outcomes, and its ratios – specifically the golden ratio or divine proportion is of specific importance.

Bitcoin's 2019 rally stopped at the 0.618 level, breaking through it caused the current rally | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

How Bitcoin And Altcoins React To Fibonacci Retracement Levels

In the chart above, Bitcoin’s 2019 high was the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level – the golden ratio. Getting back above it, signaled to the market that a reversal was taking place.

Holding there last year, kept the cryptocurrency in the troughs of bear territory. The chart above also demonstrates on the way down from Bitcoin’s all-time high, each corresponding bear market peak, almost perfectly stopped at each subsequently lower Fibonacci retracement level.

Each level also runs directly through some of the asset’s most critical support and resistance zones, but why? It isn’t clear why markets behave in such a way, but 0.618 often acts as the most important resistance or support level in any asset – not just Bitcoin.

The target for any bull market correction when it begins could be at the 0.618 level | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Fibonacci extensions, such as the 1.618, could act as resistance after a new all-time high is set. And with the golden ratio acting as an ideal place to buy support or sell resistance, 0.618 could be a logical place for any correction to fall to.

If Bitcoin has put in a short term top and corrects from the current prices, the 0.618 level could be the primary target. The cryptocurrency could find support at any of the Fib levels above there, but in past bull markets, it was right on the money.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Charts from TradingView.com

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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