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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions

TA: Bitcoin Moves Below 100 SMA, Why $40K Is The Key

Aayush Jindal
Aayush Jindal
Last Updated: June 11, 2024 2:18 pm
2 mins read
Bitcoin

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Bitcoin started a downside correction below $41,200 against the US Dollar. BTC must stay above the $40,000 support to start a fresh increase.

  • Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $41,200 support zone.
  • The price is trading below $41,400 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near $41,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair must stay above the $40,000 support zone to remain in a positive zone.

Bitcoin Price Consolidates

Bitcoin price started a downside correction after it failed to clear the $42,500 resistance zone. BTC declined below the $42,000 level to move into a short-term bearish zone.

There was a clear move below the $41,500 support zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average. The decline gained pace below the $41,200 support zone. Finally, it tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the key increase from the $38,808 swing low to $42,368 high.

The bulls were active above the $40,500 support zone. There is also a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near $41,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $41,400 level and the triangle zone. The 100 hourly SMA is also near the triangle resistance and $41,400. The next major resistance could be near the $41,500 zone. A successful break and close above the $41,500 level might start a steady increase.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

In the stated case, the price might rise towards the $42,000 level. Any more gains could initiate a fresh move towards the key $42,500 barrier in the near term.

Downside Break in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $41,500 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. An immediate support on the downside is near the $40,800 zone.

The next major support is seen near the $40,500 level. The main support sits near the $40,000 zone. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the key increase from the $38,808 swing low to $42,368 high. A downside break below the $40,000 support zone could push the price further lower towards $38,800.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now near the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $40,500, followed by $40,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $41,400, $41,500 and $42,500.

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Aayush Jindal
Aayush Jindal

Aayush Jindal

Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

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From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he's trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush's journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he's poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush's unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
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How Our News is Made

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