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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions

Bitcoin Breaks Record For Longest Weekly Uptrend Ever, According To “Parabolic” Indicator

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
Last Updated: June 11, 2024 2:12 pm
3 mins read

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Bitcoin had a major breakout last night, taking the asset to a price well above $20,000 to close out what has been a stellar year for the cryptocurrency.

Although 2020 was a monumental year for many reasons, it also marks a milestone for Bitcoin, in which a record has been set for the longest weekly uptrend in the asset’s history, according to a “parabolic” indicator.

Will Bitcoin Go Parabolic Following Longest Weekly Uptrend In Crypto History?

Although there have been very few full market cycles in cryptocurrencies, there have been at least three bull runs, and a pair of extended bear phases. The second bearish phase has only recently ended, leaving very little to look back at for comparison’s sake.

But what is obvious based on the repeating patterns, is that once Bitcoin breaches its former all-time high, the asset goes parabolic for nearly a year thereafter.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Consolidation At ATH: Expect Shake Outs, Traps, & More Before Next Leg

The resulting uptrends are the most powerful impulses on the asset’s price chart and deliver a proven ROI of between 2,000 and 5,000% across the two previous parabolic phases.

The third time is already proving to be the charm, with Bitcoin already setting a record for the longest weekly uptrend in its 12 year history, according to the Parabolic SAR indicator. What’s also notable, is that this feat has been achieved following the Black Thursday collapse, during one of the most unprecedented years yet, and did it before a new record was even set.

Is Bitcoin about to go parabolic? And what else does the Parabolic SAR indicator tell us?

bitcoin parabolic sar

A new record is set for the longest weekly positive string of SAR | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Understanding The Parabolic Stop And Reverse Technical Indicator

Bitcoin is expected to enter a parabolic phase any day now and might have already done so considering just how strong the uptrend has been thus far. But the Parabolic SAR indicator itself isn’t used to decipher if and when that happens. It instead, however, can help understand if and when that parabola has been broken.

In the chart above, the Parabolic SAR depicts the largest strength of weekly positive “SAR” under the price action. This string of bullish momentum has lasted over 200 days. The next longest uptrend on weekly scales was the 2017 rally that took the asset to $20,000 the first time.

Related Reading | Gold Naysayer Turns To Bitcoin: Overpriced, Model Says Max Value $74K BTC

The indicator itself is among the most straightforward to use, but the uses themselves vary. When price action passes through a SAR dot and closes, it is a signal that the trend has sufficiently reversed, and the parabola has been broken.

Note that in the chart above, the most recent trend change took place during the Black Thursday selloff, but it’s been nothing but incline since.

bitcoin parabolic sar

Monthly timeframes suggest the uptrend just started | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Traders can utilize the Parabolic SAR indicator, developed by J. Welles Wilder, Jr., as part of a trailing stop strategy where a stop loss is moved up or down along with each SAR dot. The idea here is that if and when the stop is hit, it will be hit in profit at a point where the trend had already reversed anyway.

The tool’s creator also designed the Average Directional Index, Average True Range, and Relative Strength Index. The tool suggests that although the weekly uptrend has already been record-breaking, monthly timeframes show that things are only just now getting started.

Featured image from Deposit Photos, Chart from TradingView.com
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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

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Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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