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Breaking News: Dogecoin (DOGE) Soars 8%, But An Uptick In This Metric Suggests A Pullback
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Breaking News: Dogecoin (DOGE) Soars 8%, But An Uptick In This Metric Suggests A Pullback
bitcoin

Overbought Or Ready To Rip? Bitcoin Daily RSI Reaches Explosive Levels

Tony Spilotro by Tony Spilotro
1 week ago
in All, BTC
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Bitcoin price is showing signs of getting overheated on daily timeframes using the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The tool, typically used to spot overbought conditions, is at one of its highest levels ever historically.

However, an elevated RSI reading in BTCUSD is deceiving, leading to some of the most dramatic moves ever on the cryptocurrency’s price chart. Here is a closer look at what happens when Bitcoin price action gets this hot.

Bitcoin RSI Reaches Highest Level Since Early 2021

After breaching above $20,000, onlookers are wondering if a possible bottom is in for Bitcoin, but remain skeptical after such a long, arduous downtrend.

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Bears have good reason to expect a pullback: Bitcoin has become extremely overbought according to the Relative Strength Index. In fact, the top cryptocurrency is more overbought than at any other point during the entire bear trend.

Related Reading: Why A Morning Star Reversal Could Awaken A Monster Bitcoin Rally

Bulls, on the other hand, could be ready to push prices higher. In the past, the RSI has only reached such an elevated level – a reading of 90 or above – during the most intense bullish movements of recent years.

BTCUSD_2023-01-18_14-13-23

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Elevated RSI tends to only happen during bull markets | BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Why Crypto Could Be Ready To Rip Higher Once Again

Bearish investors and traders might be quick to claim that this time is different, considering the Fed raising interest rates, the backdrop of war and recession, and more. But bulls have much more data on their side, and momentum at their backs.

In fact, bulls have the entire history of BTCUSD price action to prove that the Relative Strength Index reaching such highs have led to the greatest sustained gains in crypto.

BTCUSD_2023-01-18_14-22-35

Bull markets are characterized by recurring phases of extreme RSI readings. Bull markets also end at such extremes, but typically only after at least a series of three waves. Bear market peaks, throughout the entire lifetime of BTCUSD price action, always fail to reach such highly elevated RSI.

The Relative Strength Index was created by developed by J. Welles Wilder – who also developed the Parabolic SAR, Average Directional Index, and Average True. The technical tool measures the speed of the change of price movements.

Related Reading: “Parabolic” Signal That Triggered Past Bitcoin Bull Runs Reappears

Although readings above 70 and below 30 typically represent overbought or oversold conditions, a reading of 90 only occurs with an extremely fast and strong move. Such fast and strong moves tend to appear more often in a bull market than a bear market.

Cryptocurrencies can remain notoriously overbought during periods of FOMO. Is that exactly what we’ve seen in Bitcoin recently? And will the number one cryptocurrency by market cap rip higher, or ultimately see a rejection here due to such overbought conditions?

Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or join the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com
Tags: bitcoinbtcbtcusdBTCUSDTcryptoRelative Strength IndexRSI
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Tony Spilotro

Tony Spilotro

I'm Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I'm a global remote work leader with a decade of award-winning content experience and excellence. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck - literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn't yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can't yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter at @tonyspilotroBTC and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.

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